Efforts to renew talks with Palestinians resume
Evacuating all construction beyond the Green Line except Jerusalem neighborhoods would cost NIS 224 billion.
The cost of pulling out of Judea and Samaria would cost NIS 42 billion, and could go as high as NIS 220 billion or more, under certain scenarios, according to an investigation by "Globes". "Globes" examined the cost of four different pullout scenarios.
Under the Clinton Plan, Israel would evacuate all construction beyond the Green Line, except for neighborhoods in Jerusalem. This scenario assumes a general agreement that there is no way back in Jerusalem. However, it is impossible to ignore international anger every time Israel approves another neighborhood beyond the Green Line, such as in Har Homa or Gilo. 129 settlements with 320,000 residents in 56,000 apartments and homes would be evacuated. The cost of alternative housing is NIS 40 billion and the cost of evacuation on the Gush Katif model is NIS 224 billion.
Under the Israeli Plan, Israel would pull out of 92% of the West Bank, exchange land for the annexation of settlement blocs and would not evacuate neighborhoods in Jerusalem. This scenario is based on a map prepared by the Palestinians for talks in 2008. Israel would keep Ariel, Maaleh Adumim, the Etzion Bloc, and some other settlements. 72 settlements with 63,000 residents 10,500 apartments and homes would be evacuated. The cost of alternative housing is NIS 8 billion and the cost of evacuation is NIS 42 billion.
Under the Palestinian Plan, Israel would pull out of 98% of the West Bank, including settlement blocs, but would not evacuate neighborhoods in Jerusalem. This scenario assumes that Israel would exchange land for the 2% of the West Bank that it would keep. Israel would evacuate Ariel, Maaleh Adumim, Beit Horon, Psagot, Efrat, Emmanuel, and Kedumim. 105 settlements with 176,000 residents 33,000 apartments and homes would be evacuated. The cost of alternative housing is NIS 24 billion and the cost of evacuation is NIS 132 billion.
Under the 1967 border scenario, Israel would pull out of the entire West Bank. This is a highly unlikely scenario, which has never been on the table in peace talks. It would involve the evacuation of 500,000 people in 108,000 apartments and homes. 72 settlements with 63,000 residents 10,500 apartments and homes would be evacuated. The cost of alternative housing is NIS 75 billion and the cost of evacuation is NIS 432 billion.
The scenarios are based on the evacuation of Gush Katif in the Gaza Strip in 2005 by the Sharon government. 9,000 residents in 22 settlements were evacuated. The civil cost of the evacuation was estimated at NIS 7.2 billion, plus NIS 2.7 billion in military costs. The civilian costs included NIS 2.3 billion in new infrastructures, NIS 2 billion in direct personal compensation, NIS 1.5 billion in compensation for businesses, and the rest for other compensation items.
Published by Globes [online], Israel business news - www.globes-online.com - on October 11, 2011
© Copyright of Globes Publisher Itonut (1983) Ltd. 2011
You comment was recieved and soon will be published.
Thank you for posting your comment, which will be reviewed for publication.
Load more comments
Contacts resume despite Monday's murder by a gunman of Baruch Mizrahi near Hebron.
Aryeh Deri: Shas won't sit in gov't with Lapid
The Shas leader told "Globes" the coalition must change its attitude to the poor.
Combat cameramen disprove Palestinian propaganda
A unit of highly trained combat soldiers uses cameras to document military operations.
Truth is proving stranger than folktale as Turkey's spins out of Prime Minister Erdogan's control.
Prof. Zvi Eckstein supports NIS 3.30-3.40/$ floor rate
The former deputy Bank of Israel Governor is the first senior figure from the financial system to advocate a floor rate.
2014 will be year of change
Forces reshaping the Middle East are coming to a head, with Russia taking a close interest, and the West seemingly indifferent.
Gains and losses for Middle East secularists
Recent developments in Egypt, Syria and Turkey have clarified some issues, and obfuscated others.
Developing robots for warfare
Israeli research sees the future battlefield dominated by robots and unmanned devices.
Geneva changes Middle East strategic map
As the consequences of the nuclear agreement with Iran emerge, regional powers are scrambling to adapt.
Egypt has no time to lose
Unless economic reforms are introduced quickly, the country is liable to relapse into Islamic extremism.
Strange goings on in Turkey
Two recent decisions by Turkish prime minister Erdoğan make it look as though he is losing his grip.
See you in six months, Rouhani
Israel may look isolated over the nuclear deal with Iran, but the cards could yet fall its way.
China is changing
The Third Plenum of the Communist Party of the Peoples' Republic of China marks a turning-point in all areas of Chinese life - with consequences for Israel.
French gov't proposes building 2 Tel Aviv light rail lines
The Green Line from Herzliya to Holon and the Purple Line from Kiryat Ono to Tel Aviv would cost NIS 30 billion to build.
Israel's factious coalition looks wobbly on Iran
Besides US opposition, the state of Israel's government makes an attack on Iran unlikely.
Budget cuts threaten 10,000 defense industry jobs
Senior executives warn many factories are in danger of closing due to the drying up of defense ministry's orders.