3.5% GDP growth forecast for Israel in 2012

The Central Bureau of Statistics' growth forecast for 2012 is higher than the Bank of Israel's 3.1% forecast.

Israel GDP is expected to grow by 3.5% in 2012, after growing by 4.6% in 2011 and 5% in 2012, the Central Bureau of Statistics reported today in its "Selected Data from the New Statistical Abstract of Israel 2012". Business product will fall to 3.4% in 2012 from 5.1% in 2011.

Israel's GDP growth is well above the 1.6% OECD average, not to mention the 0.1% contraction expected for the eurozone this year.

The growth in private consumption will slow to 2.8% in 2012 from 3.8% in 2011, due to the slump in consumption of durable goods, including cars. More worrying is the slowing in private consumption per capita (the standard of living) to 1% growth in 2012, with a drop of over 7% in private consumption per capita of durable goods.

Growth in investment will slow to 2% in 2012 from over 17% in 2011, and growth in residential construction will slow to 5% from 12.5%. Export growth is projected to rise by 6.3%, despite the crisis in the EU and the slowdown in the US, Israel's two main export partners. Industrial exports are projected to grow by 7%, despite a 35% plunge in diamond exports and a 0.5% drop in tourism services.

The Central Bureau of Statistics' growth forecast for 2012 is higher than the revised forecasts by the Bank of Israel of 3.1% and the Ministry of Finance of 3.2%.

Published by Globes [online], Israel business news - www.globes-online.com - on September 11, 2012

© Copyright of Globes Publisher Itonut (1983) Ltd. 2012

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